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FZUS61 KCLE 160129
Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
929 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026
For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
SYNOPSIS
A warm front will lift north across the lake late this evening as
low pressure 29.60 inches moves into the Great Lakes. A cold
front will sweep across the lake early Friday morning. High
pressure 30.50 inches will build across the Ohio Valley and lower
Great Lakes region this weekend.
LEZ162-163-160815-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
929 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026
REST OF TONIGHT
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming
southwest and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Showers likely with a
slight chance of thunderstorms, then a chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms late. Waves 1 to 2 feet building
to 2 to 4 feet.
FRIDAY
West winds 20 to 25 knots becoming northwest. A slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms early, then a slight chance
of showers. A chance of showers late. Waves 3 to 6 feet.
FRIDAY NIGHT
North winds to 30 knots. A chance of showers in
the evening. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves
occasionally around 9 feet.
SATURDAY
North winds to 30 knots becoming northwest and
diminishing to 5 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest.
Waves 2 feet or less.
SUNDAY
Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
MONDAY
Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Waves
2 feet or less.
TUESDAY
Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or
less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ164>168-160815-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
929 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026
REST OF TONIGHT
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming
southwest and increasing to 30 knots after midnight. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms late this evening, then showers likely
with a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 to
3 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
FRIDAY
Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming northwest. A
chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning, then a slight chance of showers early in the afternoon.
Showers likely late. Waves 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around
11 feet.
FRIDAY NIGHT
North winds to 30 knots. A chance of showers.
Waves 6 to 10 feet building to 7 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally
around 14 feet.
SATURDAY
North winds to 30 knots becoming northwest and
diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Waves 5 to 9 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming
southwest 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to
4 feet.
SUNDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
MONDAY
Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 foot or less.
TUESDAY
West winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Waves
1 foot or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ061-169-160815-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
929 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026
REST OF TONIGHT
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming
southwest and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of showers
with a slight chance of thunderstorms late this evening, then
showers with a chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 to
3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet.
FRIDAY
Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming northwest. Showers
likely with a chance of thunderstorms early, then showers likely
with a slight chance of thunderstorms late in the morning. A
chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to
6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming north. A
chance of showers in the evening. Waves 5 to 8 feet. Waves
occasionally around 10 feet.
SATURDAY
North winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to
1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming
southwest 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
MONDAY
Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY
West winds less than 10 knots becoming northeast.
Waves 1 foot or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ161-160815-
MAFOR 1603/
LAKE ERIE WESTERN 1/3: 11426 12530 11640 11630 11730 11740 11840. Waves 1
to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet overnight. Waves 5 to 8 feet,
and occasionally around 10 feet Friday. Waves 6 to 10 feet, and
occasionally around 13 feet Friday evening.
LAKE ERIE CENTRAL 1/3: 11426 11536 11540 12640 11730 11740 11840. A
chance of thunderstorms late this evening. Waves 2 to 3 feet
building to 4 to 7 feet, and occasionally around 9 feet
overnight. Waves 5 to 9 feet, and occasionally around 11 feet
Friday. Waves 6 to 10 feet, and occasionally around 13 feet
Friday evening.
LAKE ERIE EASTERN 1/3: 11416 11436 11536 11546 11640 11630 11730 11830. A
chance of thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to
3 to 6 feet overnight. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 6 to 9 feet,
and occasionally around 11 feet Friday. Waves 5 to 8 feet, and
occasionally around 10 feet Friday evening.
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